Main Article Content
Abstract
The purpose of the study estimates the possible causal relation between direct foreign investment with intertwined political and economic factors ranging from the investment climate reform initiative, tax policy conducted by the government, size of the government, and political institution. The sample of this study consists of ten countries in the Southeast Asia region. Our study utilizes time series data of 11 years from 2010 to 2020, to empirically tested three proposed hypotheses by using panel data regression analysis. Our statistical results show that determinants of direct foreign investment can be uncovered through economic rather than political factors. This study provides a negative relationship between the political institution factor (proxied by the veto player) and FDI inflow. On the contrary, the EODB score does not affect FDI inflow by controlling covariates. Moreover, our study could not provide robust evidence that an effective average tax rate could affect the FDI inflow which is contrary to literature expectation. However, our causal inference may suggest that previous FDI inflow is the best predictor for the FDI inflow.
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References
- Abushhewa, Abdulhakim A, and Tarek Zarook. (2016). “The Impacts of Investment Climate on FDIs in the Libyan Economy: Firm-level Evidence.” International Journal of Business and Social Science 7(4): 120-132.
- Angrist, Joshua, and Jorn-Steffen Pischke. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: an Empiricist's Companion. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
- Asiedu, Elizabeth. (2006). "Foreign Direct Investment in Africa: The Role of Natural Resources, Market Size, Government Policy, Institutions, and Political Instability." World Economy 29(1): 63-77.
- Bailey, Nicholas. (2018). “Exploring the Relationship between Institutional Factors and FDI Attractiveness: A Meta-analytic Review.” International Business Review 27(1): 139-148.
- Bayraktar, Nihal. (2013). “Foreign Direct Investment and Investment Climate.” Procedia Economics and Finance 5(1): 83-92.
- Beck, Thorsten, George Clarke, Alberto Groff, Philip Keefer, and Patrick Walsh. (2001). "New Tools in Comparative Political Economy: The Database of Political Institutions." the World Bank Economic Review 15(1): 165-176.
- Bellak, Christian, Markus Leibrecht. (2006). "Effective Tax Rates As a Determinant of Foreign Direct Investment in Central and East European Countries: A Panel Analysis." In Multinationals, Clusters, and Innovation. London: Palgrave Macmillan. 272-288.
- Blonigen, Bruce A , and Jeremy Piger. (2014). “Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment.” Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue Canadienne D'économique 47(3): 775-812.
- Cardillo, Colleen, Montanjees, Ms Marie, Motala, Mr John and Patterson, Mr Neil K. (2004). Foreign Direct Investment: Trends, Data Availability, Concepts, and Recording Practices. International Monetary Fund.
- Carril-Caccia, Federico , and Elena Pavlova. (2018). “Foreign Direct Investment and Its Drivers: a Global and EU Perspective.” Economic Bulletin Articles 4.
- Chakrabarti, Avik. (2001). "The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investments: Sensitivity Analyses of Cross country Regressions." Kyklos 54(1): 89-114.
- Chung, Wilbur, and Juan Alcacer. (2002). "Knowledge Seeking and Location Choice of Foreign Direct Investment in the United States." Management Science 48(12): 1534-1554.
- Devereux, Michael P, and Rachel Griffith. (2003). "Evaluating Tax Policy for Location Decisions." International Tax and Public Finance 10(2): 107-126.
- Djankov, Simeon, Caralee McLiesh , and Andrei Shleifer. (2007). “Private Credit in 129 Countries.” Journal of Financial Economics 84(2): 299-329.
- Djankov, Simeon, Edward Glaeser, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes , and Andrei Shleifer. (2003). “The New Comparative Economics.” Journal of Comparative Economics 31(4): 595-619.
- Djankov, Simeon, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes , and Andrei Shleifer. (2002). “The Regulation of Entry.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 117(1): 1-37.
- Dollar, David, Mary Hallward-Driemeier , and Taye Mengistae. (2006). “Investment Climate and International Integration.” World Development 34(9): 1498-1516.
- Grossman, Gene M, Elhanan Helpman. (1994). “Protection for Sale.” American Economic Review 84(4): 833-850.
- Gwartney, James, Lawson, Robert, and Norton, Seth. (2008). Economic Freedom of the World: 2008 Annual Report. The Fraser Institute.
- Hossain, Mohamed T, Zubair Hassan, Sumaiya Shafiq and Abdul Basit. (2018). “Ease of Doing Business and Its Impact on Inward FDI.” Indonesian Journal of Management and Business Economics 1(1): 52-65.
- Helpman, Elhanan. (1984). “A Simple Theory of International Trade with Multinational Corporations.” Journal of Political Economy 92(3): 451-471.
- Hennart, Jean-Francois. (1986). “Internalization in Practice: Early Foreign Direct Investments in Malaysian Tin Mining.” Journal of International Business Studies 17(2): 131-143.
- Hennart, Jean-Francois. (2012). “Emerging Market Multinationals and the Theory of the Multinational Enterprise.” Global Strategy Journal 2(3): 168-187.
- Hoang, Hong Hiep. (2012). “Foreign Direct Investment in South-East Asia: Determinants and Spatial Distribution.” Centre of Studies and Research on International Development.
- Heckscher, Eli. (1949). “The Effect of Foreign Trade on Distribution of Income 1919.” Readings in Theory of International Trade: 272-300
- Iksan, Muhamad. (2020). “A Tale of Two Governments: The Political Economy of Indonesian Investment Climate Reform (2004-2019)” East Asian Studies 2020
- Jara, Jose Joaquin. (2017). “Determinants of Country Competitiveness in Attracting Mining Investments: An Empirical Analysis.” Resources Policy 52: 65-71.
- Jara, Jose Joaquin, Stefano Delucchi, David Peters, Gustavo Lagos , and Carlos Marquardt. (2020). “Attracting Mining Investments: the Relationship between Natural Endowments and Public Policies.” Mineral Economics 33(1): 231-243.
- Jensen, Nathan M. (2006). Nation-states and the Multinational Corporations. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
- Kaufmann, Daniel. (2007). Governance Matters VI: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators, 1996-2006. World Bank Publications.
- Kaur, Manpreet, Apalak Khatua , and Surendra S Yadav. (2016). “Infrastructure Development and FDI Inflow to Developing Economies: Evidence from India.” Thunderbird International Business Review 58(6): 555-563.
- Kim, In Song , and Iain Osgood. (2019). “Firms in Trade and Trade Politics.” Annual Review of Political Science 22: 399-417.
- Kinda, Tidiane. (2010) “Investment Climate and FDI in Developing Countries: Firm-level Evidence.” World Development 38(4): 498-513.
- Lipsey, Robert E, and Fredrik Sjöholm. (2011). “Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in East Asia: Lessons for Indonesia.” Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies 47(1): 35-63.
- Loree, David W, and Stephen E Guisinger. (1995). “Policy and Non-policy Determinants of US Equity Foreign Direct Investment.” Journal of International Business Studies 26(2): 281-299.
- Litvak, Isaiah, and Peter M Banting. (1968). "A Conceptual Framework for International Business Arrangements." In Marketing and the New Science of Planning, ed. Robert L. King, Chicago: American Marketing Association.
- MacIntyre, Andrew. (2001). “Institutions and Investors: The Politics of the Economic Crisis in Southeast Asia.” International Organization 55(1): 81-122.
- Mottaleb, Khondoker Abdul , and Kaliappa Kalirajan. (2010). "Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries: A Comparative Analysis." Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research 4(4): 369-404.
- Nagano, Mamoru. (2013). “Similarities and Differences among Cross-border M&A and Greenfield FDI Determinants: Evidence from Asia and Oceania.” Emerging Markets Review 16: 100-118.
- North, Douglass C , and Barry R Weingast. (1989). "Constitutions and Commitment: the Evolution of Institutions Governing Public Choice in Seventeenth-century England." The Journal of Economic History 49(4): 803-832.
- North, Douglass C and Thomas, Robert Paul. (1973). The Rise of the Western World: A New Economic History. New York: Cambridge University Press.
- Pandya, Sonal S. (2016). “Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment: Globalized Production in the Twenty-First Century.” Annual Review of Political Science 19: 455-475.
- Sekkat, Khalid , and Marie-Ange Veganzones-Varoudakis. (2007). “Openness, Investment Climate, and FDI in Developing Countries.” Review of Development Economics 11(4): 607-620.
- Terada, Yuka. “Political Institutions in Foreign Direct Investment: Case Study on the Philippines and Thailand.”
- Tilton, John E. (1983). “Comparative Advantage in Mining.” International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg. Unpublished Working Paper: 83-91.
- Tsebelis, George. (1995). "Decision Making in Political Systems: Veto Players in Presidentialism, Parliamentarism, Multicameralism, and Multipartyism." British Journal of Political Science 25(3): 289-325.
- Tsebelis, George. (2000). “Veto Players and Institutional Analysis.” Governance 13(4): 441-474.
- UNCTAD Secretariat. 1998. “Foreign Direct Investment by SMEs: Lessons from Asia.” Foreign Trade Review 33(1-2): 78-96.
- UNCTAD. (2003). “World Investment Report.” New York: United Nations. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/wir2003light_en.pdf (accessed June 15, 2021)
- Urata, Shujiro , and Mitsuyo Ando. (2011). “Study of the Investment Climate of ASEAN Member Countries.” Toward a Competitive ASEAN Single Market: Sectoral Analysis: 137.
- Wach, Krzysztof. (2008). Impact of the Regional Business Environment on the Development of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises in Southern Poland. Social Science Electronic Publishing.
- Weingast, Barry R. (1995). “The Economic Role of Political Institutions: Market-Preserving Federalism and Economic Development.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 11(1): 1-31.
- Wheeler, David, and Ashoka Mody. (1992). "International Investment Location Decisions: The Case of US Firms." Journal of International Economics 33(1-2): 57-76.
- Woodward, Douglas P, and Robert J Rolfe. (1993). "The Location of Export-oriented Foreign Direct Investment in the Caribbean Basin." Journal of International Business Studies 24(1): 121-144.
- Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. (2001). Econometric Analysis of Cross-Sectional and Panel Data. Second Edition. Massachusetts: MIT Press.
- Yuan, Yijun, Yanying Chen , and Lili Wang. (2010). “Size of Government and FDI: An Empirical Analysis Based on the Panel Data of 81 Countries.” Journal of Technology Management in China 5(2): 176-184
References
Abushhewa, Abdulhakim A, and Tarek Zarook. (2016). “The Impacts of Investment Climate on FDIs in the Libyan Economy: Firm-level Evidence.” International Journal of Business and Social Science 7(4): 120-132.
Angrist, Joshua, and Jorn-Steffen Pischke. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: an Empiricist's Companion. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
Asiedu, Elizabeth. (2006). "Foreign Direct Investment in Africa: The Role of Natural Resources, Market Size, Government Policy, Institutions, and Political Instability." World Economy 29(1): 63-77.
Bailey, Nicholas. (2018). “Exploring the Relationship between Institutional Factors and FDI Attractiveness: A Meta-analytic Review.” International Business Review 27(1): 139-148.
Bayraktar, Nihal. (2013). “Foreign Direct Investment and Investment Climate.” Procedia Economics and Finance 5(1): 83-92.
Beck, Thorsten, George Clarke, Alberto Groff, Philip Keefer, and Patrick Walsh. (2001). "New Tools in Comparative Political Economy: The Database of Political Institutions." the World Bank Economic Review 15(1): 165-176.
Bellak, Christian, Markus Leibrecht. (2006). "Effective Tax Rates As a Determinant of Foreign Direct Investment in Central and East European Countries: A Panel Analysis." In Multinationals, Clusters, and Innovation. London: Palgrave Macmillan. 272-288.
Blonigen, Bruce A , and Jeremy Piger. (2014). “Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment.” Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue Canadienne D'économique 47(3): 775-812.
Cardillo, Colleen, Montanjees, Ms Marie, Motala, Mr John and Patterson, Mr Neil K. (2004). Foreign Direct Investment: Trends, Data Availability, Concepts, and Recording Practices. International Monetary Fund.
Carril-Caccia, Federico , and Elena Pavlova. (2018). “Foreign Direct Investment and Its Drivers: a Global and EU Perspective.” Economic Bulletin Articles 4.
Chakrabarti, Avik. (2001). "The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investments: Sensitivity Analyses of Cross country Regressions." Kyklos 54(1): 89-114.
Chung, Wilbur, and Juan Alcacer. (2002). "Knowledge Seeking and Location Choice of Foreign Direct Investment in the United States." Management Science 48(12): 1534-1554.
Devereux, Michael P, and Rachel Griffith. (2003). "Evaluating Tax Policy for Location Decisions." International Tax and Public Finance 10(2): 107-126.
Djankov, Simeon, Caralee McLiesh , and Andrei Shleifer. (2007). “Private Credit in 129 Countries.” Journal of Financial Economics 84(2): 299-329.
Djankov, Simeon, Edward Glaeser, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes , and Andrei Shleifer. (2003). “The New Comparative Economics.” Journal of Comparative Economics 31(4): 595-619.
Djankov, Simeon, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes , and Andrei Shleifer. (2002). “The Regulation of Entry.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 117(1): 1-37.
Dollar, David, Mary Hallward-Driemeier , and Taye Mengistae. (2006). “Investment Climate and International Integration.” World Development 34(9): 1498-1516.
Grossman, Gene M, Elhanan Helpman. (1994). “Protection for Sale.” American Economic Review 84(4): 833-850.
Gwartney, James, Lawson, Robert, and Norton, Seth. (2008). Economic Freedom of the World: 2008 Annual Report. The Fraser Institute.
Hossain, Mohamed T, Zubair Hassan, Sumaiya Shafiq and Abdul Basit. (2018). “Ease of Doing Business and Its Impact on Inward FDI.” Indonesian Journal of Management and Business Economics 1(1): 52-65.
Helpman, Elhanan. (1984). “A Simple Theory of International Trade with Multinational Corporations.” Journal of Political Economy 92(3): 451-471.
Hennart, Jean-Francois. (1986). “Internalization in Practice: Early Foreign Direct Investments in Malaysian Tin Mining.” Journal of International Business Studies 17(2): 131-143.
Hennart, Jean-Francois. (2012). “Emerging Market Multinationals and the Theory of the Multinational Enterprise.” Global Strategy Journal 2(3): 168-187.
Hoang, Hong Hiep. (2012). “Foreign Direct Investment in South-East Asia: Determinants and Spatial Distribution.” Centre of Studies and Research on International Development.
Heckscher, Eli. (1949). “The Effect of Foreign Trade on Distribution of Income 1919.” Readings in Theory of International Trade: 272-300
Iksan, Muhamad. (2020). “A Tale of Two Governments: The Political Economy of Indonesian Investment Climate Reform (2004-2019)” East Asian Studies 2020
Jara, Jose Joaquin. (2017). “Determinants of Country Competitiveness in Attracting Mining Investments: An Empirical Analysis.” Resources Policy 52: 65-71.
Jara, Jose Joaquin, Stefano Delucchi, David Peters, Gustavo Lagos , and Carlos Marquardt. (2020). “Attracting Mining Investments: the Relationship between Natural Endowments and Public Policies.” Mineral Economics 33(1): 231-243.
Jensen, Nathan M. (2006). Nation-states and the Multinational Corporations. New Jersey: Princeton University Press.
Kaufmann, Daniel. (2007). Governance Matters VI: Aggregate and Individual Governance Indicators, 1996-2006. World Bank Publications.
Kaur, Manpreet, Apalak Khatua , and Surendra S Yadav. (2016). “Infrastructure Development and FDI Inflow to Developing Economies: Evidence from India.” Thunderbird International Business Review 58(6): 555-563.
Kim, In Song , and Iain Osgood. (2019). “Firms in Trade and Trade Politics.” Annual Review of Political Science 22: 399-417.
Kinda, Tidiane. (2010) “Investment Climate and FDI in Developing Countries: Firm-level Evidence.” World Development 38(4): 498-513.
Lipsey, Robert E, and Fredrik Sjöholm. (2011). “Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in East Asia: Lessons for Indonesia.” Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies 47(1): 35-63.
Loree, David W, and Stephen E Guisinger. (1995). “Policy and Non-policy Determinants of US Equity Foreign Direct Investment.” Journal of International Business Studies 26(2): 281-299.
Litvak, Isaiah, and Peter M Banting. (1968). "A Conceptual Framework for International Business Arrangements." In Marketing and the New Science of Planning, ed. Robert L. King, Chicago: American Marketing Association.
MacIntyre, Andrew. (2001). “Institutions and Investors: The Politics of the Economic Crisis in Southeast Asia.” International Organization 55(1): 81-122.
Mottaleb, Khondoker Abdul , and Kaliappa Kalirajan. (2010). "Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Developing Countries: A Comparative Analysis." Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research 4(4): 369-404.
Nagano, Mamoru. (2013). “Similarities and Differences among Cross-border M&A and Greenfield FDI Determinants: Evidence from Asia and Oceania.” Emerging Markets Review 16: 100-118.
North, Douglass C , and Barry R Weingast. (1989). "Constitutions and Commitment: the Evolution of Institutions Governing Public Choice in Seventeenth-century England." The Journal of Economic History 49(4): 803-832.
North, Douglass C and Thomas, Robert Paul. (1973). The Rise of the Western World: A New Economic History. New York: Cambridge University Press.
Pandya, Sonal S. (2016). “Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment: Globalized Production in the Twenty-First Century.” Annual Review of Political Science 19: 455-475.
Sekkat, Khalid , and Marie-Ange Veganzones-Varoudakis. (2007). “Openness, Investment Climate, and FDI in Developing Countries.” Review of Development Economics 11(4): 607-620.
Terada, Yuka. “Political Institutions in Foreign Direct Investment: Case Study on the Philippines and Thailand.”
Tilton, John E. (1983). “Comparative Advantage in Mining.” International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Laxenburg. Unpublished Working Paper: 83-91.
Tsebelis, George. (1995). "Decision Making in Political Systems: Veto Players in Presidentialism, Parliamentarism, Multicameralism, and Multipartyism." British Journal of Political Science 25(3): 289-325.
Tsebelis, George. (2000). “Veto Players and Institutional Analysis.” Governance 13(4): 441-474.
UNCTAD Secretariat. 1998. “Foreign Direct Investment by SMEs: Lessons from Asia.” Foreign Trade Review 33(1-2): 78-96.
UNCTAD. (2003). “World Investment Report.” New York: United Nations. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/wir2003light_en.pdf (accessed June 15, 2021)
Urata, Shujiro , and Mitsuyo Ando. (2011). “Study of the Investment Climate of ASEAN Member Countries.” Toward a Competitive ASEAN Single Market: Sectoral Analysis: 137.
Wach, Krzysztof. (2008). Impact of the Regional Business Environment on the Development of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises in Southern Poland. Social Science Electronic Publishing.
Weingast, Barry R. (1995). “The Economic Role of Political Institutions: Market-Preserving Federalism and Economic Development.” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 11(1): 1-31.
Wheeler, David, and Ashoka Mody. (1992). "International Investment Location Decisions: The Case of US Firms." Journal of International Economics 33(1-2): 57-76.
Woodward, Douglas P, and Robert J Rolfe. (1993). "The Location of Export-oriented Foreign Direct Investment in the Caribbean Basin." Journal of International Business Studies 24(1): 121-144.
Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. (2001). Econometric Analysis of Cross-Sectional and Panel Data. Second Edition. Massachusetts: MIT Press.
Yuan, Yijun, Yanying Chen , and Lili Wang. (2010). “Size of Government and FDI: An Empirical Analysis Based on the Panel Data of 81 Countries.” Journal of Technology Management in China 5(2): 176-184